Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.897734 4.654518 5.498328 6.505895 7.673073 8.979315 10.548441
2025-07-20 2.892108 3.884120 5.104801 6.704599 8.731697 11.199121 14.412324
2025-07-27 2.322320 3.437901 4.925845 7.026644 9.882000 13.588669 18.717880
2025-08-03 1.837012 2.966636 4.584357 7.020560 10.535435 15.350743 22.356247
2025-08-10 1.425991 2.498561 4.139228 6.759643 10.748302 16.479328 25.189947
2025-08-17 1.127824 2.133137 3.767835 6.522783 10.923389 17.519837 27.939022
2025-08-24 0.943085 1.912041 3.576640 6.518889 11.421420 19.044772 31.489947
2025-08-31 0.800302 1.733091 3.420491 6.537887 11.937464 20.618108 35.216835
2025-09-07 0.672195 1.553593 3.230673 6.464380 12.276928 21.921221 38.600369
2025-09-14 0.540746 1.338188 2.937371 6.159387 12.173304 22.474146 40.793639
2025-09-21 0.462909 1.218263 2.805700 6.130391 12.543428 23.834395 44.402867
2025-09-28 0.396715 1.109420 2.677444 6.086954 12.874296 25.141315 48.001070
2025-10-05 0.372097 1.095642 2.750128 6.461943 14.046387 28.052122 54.640718
2025-10-12 0.336183 1.046205 2.737822 6.660261 14.896980 30.451440 60.552572
2025-10-19 0.312433 1.023109 2.780985 6.980685 16.018745 33.431038 67.707408
2025-10-26 0.272044 0.944789 2.681803 6.974715 16.472184 35.183319 72.722956
2025-11-02 0.224723 0.833780 2.483328 6.715330 16.365237 35.844092 75.734394
2025-11-09 0.186322 0.738559 2.306676 6.479851 16.279068 36.528271 78.820908
2025-11-16 0.163151 0.685446 2.230938 6.475982 16.697620 38.244984 84.005533
2025-11-23 0.143891 0.640011 2.168034 6.494870 17.166918 40.094337 89.560478
2025-11-30 0.124276 0.587257 2.074529 6.421790 17.414281 41.495388 94.297784
2025-12-07 0.101178 0.513317 1.903613 6.118577 17.083553 41.642085 96.484027
2025-12-14 0.088380 0.475883 1.837145 6.089750 17.411719 43.228815 101.737107